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F&O earnings in danger: How a lot one lot of Nifty futures and choices prices after the STT hike

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The Union Price range 2026 has modified the economics of derivatives buying and selling in India by way of improve in transaction taxes. The federal government has raised the securities transaction tax on fairness derivatives, making each commerce in futures and choices commerce dearer, no matter whether or not the dealer makes or loses cash. Whereas markets reacted sharply to the announcement, the true impression turns into clear solely when the mathematics is damaged down.

The federal government has justified the tax hike by pointing to the sheer dimension of India’s derivatives market. The entire quantity of futures and choices buying and selling is greater than 500 instances India’s GDP. With GDP estimated at round Rs 300 lakh crore, derivatives turnover runs into extraordinarily giant numbers. The view from policymakers is that buying and selling has turn into excessively speculative and that larger prices are wanted to chill exercise.

Market individuals, nonetheless, argue that derivatives will not be simply speculative devices. They’re additionally used for hedging, worth discovery and liquidity assist for the money market.

What does it value for one lot of Nifty futures after STT improve

As of Sunday shut, the Nifty is round 24,825. The lot dimension for Nifty futures is 65 models. This implies one futures contract represents a notional worth of about Rs 16.13 lakh. Securities transaction tax on futures is charged on this full turnover worth, not on margins or earnings.

Earlier than the Price range, the STT charge on futures was 0.02%. On a single lot of Nifty futures, this labored out to roughly Rs 325 per commerce. After the Price range, the STT charge has been raised to 0.05%. This will increase the tax on the identical commerce to about Rs 817 per lot. In easy phrases, each spherical of buying and selling in a single Nifty futures contract now prices practically Rs 500 extra in STT alone.
Merchants typically assume in index factors somewhat than rupees, so the impression turns into clearer when translated into factors. Earlier, an STT of Rs 325 meant a dealer wanted the Nifty to maneuver by about 5 factors to recuperate simply the tax value.
After the hike, an STT of round Rs 817 means the index should transfer by roughly 12 to 13 factors merely to interrupt even on this one cost. This calculation excludes brokerage charges, alternate expenses, GST and different statutory prices, which additional elevate the breakeven threshold.
Analysts say this bounce in breakeven factors is very vital for short-term merchants who depend on small worth actions. Methods that earlier made sense with tight margins now require greater strikes to stay viable. For a lot of merchants, this modifications the risk-reward steadiness of each commerce.

What are the prices for choices buying and selling

Choices buying and selling has additionally turn into dearer, although the mechanics are completely different. In choices, STT is charged on the premium worth somewhat than the complete contract worth. If we contemplate a Nifty name choice buying and selling at a premium of Rs 100. With rather a lot dimension of 65, the full premium worth of the contract is Rs 6,500.

Earlier, STT on choices premium was 0.10%, which meant a tax of Rs 6.50 per lot. After the Price range, the STT charge has been elevated to 0.15%, elevating the tax to Rs 9.75 for a similar commerce. Whereas absolutely the rupee improve seems small, it represents a 50% bounce in STT. For merchants dealing in a number of heaps or executing frequent trades, this improve compounds shortly over time.

The important thing subject with STT is that it’s a fastened, one-way value. It’s charged whether or not the commerce is worthwhile or not. This makes even small charge hikes significant, notably for high-frequency merchants, arbitrage methods and intraday individuals who function on skinny margins.

Trade individuals have expressed concern that larger transaction prices may cut back market liquidity somewhat than simply curb hypothesis. Jimeet Modi of the SAMCO Group has argued that elevating buying and selling friction at a time when India is competing for world capital sends the incorrect sign. In line with him, by-product markets are essential liquidity engines and risk-transfer mechanisms that assist the broader fairness market.

There are additionally issues round international participation. Overseas portfolio buyers have already been pulling cash out of Indian equities amid world risk-off sentiment and better US bond yields. Larger transaction taxes additional cut back post-tax returns, making India much less engaging for derivative-based methods utilized by world funds.

Pranav Haridasan of Axis Securities has questioned whether or not larger STT will obtain its said goal. He has identified that futures are already margin-based and risk-managed merchandise, suggesting that the tax might find yourself hurting liquidity and participation greater than curbing extra retail hypothesis.

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, ideas, views and opinions given by the specialists are their very own. These don’t characterize the views of Financial Occasions)

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