Can Australia actually get knocked out of the World Cup? What do Pakistan have to do to qualify? Al Jazeera explains.
Printed On 16 Feb 2026
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After two weeks of motion within the ICC Males’s T20 World Cup 2026, 4 groups have booked their place within the subsequent spherical of the event, whereas 13 of the remainder are combating for the remaining 5 spots.
In a uncommon situation, 2021 champions Australia are in peril of crashing out of the event on the first hurdle, whereas the USA have an out of doors probability of progressing.
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Al Jazeera breaks down the qualification probabilities and pathways for the Tremendous Eights:
Which groups have certified for the Tremendous Eights?
Cohosts Sri Lanka grew to become the newest aspect to progress with their win over Australia on Monday, becoming a member of defending champions India, two-time winners West Indies and England, in addition to South Africa.
Which groups are out of the Tremendous Eights race?
After dropping all three of their group stage matches to date, Namibia, Nepal and Oman have been knocked out of the event. They may play their one remaining group sport every, however it will likely be inconsequential to their possibilities of development.
Can Pakistan nonetheless qualify for the Tremendous Eights?
A win over Namibia of their final group sport will see Pakistan by means of to the following stage, however a loss might pit them in opposition to the USA in a battle of internet run charges.
Presently, the 2009 champions have the next internet run price of 0.932 than the USA’s 0.788, however a loss to Namibia and the margin of it might change these numbers and place Pakistan in a predicament.
Can Australia actually get knocked out of the T20 World Cup?
Whereas it has occurred earlier than – in 2009 – the prospect of Australia exiting a World Cup on the group stage would come as a shock to cricket followers, who’re accustomed to seeing the boys in yellow and gold dominating international tournaments.
After dropping their second sport of the World Cup, Australia should win their final in opposition to Oman on Friday by an enormous margin and hope the opposite leads to Group B go their manner with a view to be able for Tremendous Eight qualification.
Nevertheless, successful the final match will not be sufficient for Australia as they will nonetheless be knocked out of the World Cup on the idea of internet run price. A win over Oman would take Mitchell Marsh’s workforce to 4 factors, however the present second-placed workforce Zimbabwe might end with eight, six or 4 factors.
For the 2021 champions to qualify, they might hope that Zimbabwe lose to Sri Lanka and Eire and end on two factors.
Which different groups can nonetheless qualify for the Tremendous Eights?
Group A: Pakistan are favourites to seize the second qualification spot, with the USA nonetheless in play.
Group B: Zimbabwe or Australia can undergo, making this group probably the most thrilling of the 4 within the final spherical of matches.
Group C: West Indies and England have certified.
Group D: New Zealand shall be assured of becoming a member of present group leaders South Africa within the subsequent spherical with a win over lower-ranked Canada. Whereas Afghanistan are nonetheless in rivalry, their solely probability of qualification will come in the event that they beat Canada and New Zealand lose to Canada.
When are the Tremendous Eights matches of the T20 World Cup?
The second stage of the event runs from February 21 to March 1.
