Indian markets ended the risky, truncated week largely unchanged. The NIFTY50 index ended the week at 25,694, whereas SENSEX ended the week at 83,570. The buying and selling was uneven and influenced by US tariff threats, combined third quarter earnings and steady overseas institutional investor (FII) promoting. Moreover, the rupee weakened to 90.86, reflecting greenback power.
The broader markets consolidated alongside the benchmarks, with the Nifty Midcap 150 index closing at 21,975 and the Smallcap 250 index closing at 16,207. This displays a cautious stance following the sharp correction of the earlier week. Sectoral tendencies diverged sharply with Nifty PSU Financial institution (+4.8%) and Metals (+4.5%) led the features amid renewed shopping for. Nifty Shopper Durables (-2.8%), Realty (-2.4%) and Pharma (-2.3%) confronted profit-taking and weak demand amid world volatility.
📌Highlight: PSU Financial institution index surged 4.8% this week, attracting renewed shopping for curiosity amid benchmark consolidation. State-run lenders benefited from expectations of regular credit score development, enhancing asset high quality and RBI’s liquidity assist. The standout performers for the week have been Union Financial institution of India (+8.6%), Financial institution of India (+7.8%) and Punjab Nationwide Financial institution (+7.7%).
🗓️Key occasions in focus: Subsequent week’s holiday-shortened buying and selling begins with the World Financial Discussion board’s annual Davos assembly, internet hosting at the very least 60 heads of state together with President Donald Trump, whose feedback on commerce coverage, tariffs and world development will affect market sentiment. In the meantime, 30 S&P 500 companies report This fall outcomes, beginning with Netflix and United Airways on Tuesday, Charles Schwab and Johnson & Johnson on Wednesday, and GE Aerospace, Intel and Procter & Gamble on Thursday, providing insights into shopper spending, journey demand and tech margins.
In the meantime, the Bureau of Financial Evaluation releases its key private consumption expenditures value index alongside the ultimate This fall GDP development estimate on Thursday. Markets will deal with PCE inflation tendencies to validate the Fed’s projected rate-cut trajectory for 2026.
📈📉Earnings blitz: The third quarter earnings season will stay in focus as key corporations equivalent to BHEL, Hindustan Zinc, LTIMindtree, Punjab Nationwide Financial institution, Persistent Techniques, Everlasting, Dalmia Bharat, CAMS, Interglobe Aviation, DLF, Bharat Petroleum, Cipla, MCX, JSW Metal and Shriram Finance will announce their outcomes.
Market breadth
This week, NIFTY’s market breadth weakened, with the share of NIFTY50 shares buying and selling above their 50-day transferring common falling from the current 70% zone to beneath 50% vary. This sharp pullback means that the sooner growth in market breadth was not sustainable, as many shares that had moved above key averages gave up their features. This means cooling participation and early consolidation after a pointy pullback. Within the upcoming classes, the 50% degree can be necessary. A sustained studying beneath would counsel weak spot.
FIIs money market and derivatives
International Buyers (FIIs) remained firmly defensive this week, with quick positions persevering with to dominate index futures. The share of quick contracts stayed elevated close to the 90%+ zone, whereas lengthy publicity remained restricted, indicating an absence of conviction on the upside regardless of the index holding close to highs. Internet open curiosity stayed deeply damaging and edged decrease by the week, suggesting that FIIs added to their hedges and elevated quick publicity throughout current classes.
Within the money market, FIIs began 2026 on a weak notice, promoting shares value ₹21,000 crore and persevering with their bearish outlook on Indian equities. In distinction, home traders remained internet consumers, supporting the markets by buying shares value ₹34,000 crore.
NIFTY50 outlook
NIFTY has fashioned a ‘pause candle’ (doji) on the weekly chart, reflecting clear indecision after the current sharp down transfer. This sample means that the market is at a stability level, the place neither consumers nor sellers have been capable of assert dominance. The subsequent directional transfer is prone to be decided by a decisive every day shut above or beneath the doji’s vary, which is able to point out whether or not consumers are regaining management or sellers are stepping in. With the Union Finances approaching, merchants ought to carefully monitor these key ranges, as a breakout on both aspect might set the tone for the market’s subsequent section.
Disclaimer:
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